We have some very high totals on this slate – 10 out of 14 expecting to see over 50 and 4 of those games being single possession spreads. At first glance at the pricing on DraftKings, I think the easy strategy is to punt QBs and stack RBs and WRs. There is also a lot of value on the slate to be able to pay up for the studs.
Wake Forest vs Clemson (-4.5) O/U 56.5
We start off with Wake Forest and Sam Hartman ($10,300) who is a semifinalist for a couple of NCAA awards. Hartman has been very fantasy friendly this year averaging 34.5 fppg. Only issue with me saying lock him in this week is he’s up against a tough Clemson D. Wake Forest is a very up-tempo, high scoring offense, averaging 43.6 ppg and just under 80 plays a game. On the other side we have Clemson who is only giving up 16.7 points per game. Hartman can do damage through the air and a little on the ground but at his price point I think I’m going to go elsewhere, maybe a few shares.
The Demon Deacons normally have a shared backfield, but latest reports are Beal-Smith is still in a boot. That opens the backfield to Justice Ellison ($4,300) having another “workload” day. He had 13 touches against UNC when Beal-Smith got hurt, and then 17 attempts last week. He did punch it in twice against the Wolf Pack of North Carolina State, but this is a step up in competition.
On the receiver side Wake Forest has a pair of amazing WRs and another I would target if anyone. We will start off with Jacquarii Roberson ($8,300) who is one of Sam Hartman’s favorite targets. Averaging around 5 catches a game and 86 yards a game. Again, it’s a tough matchup but a name to watch. The other star receiver is the 6’5 A.T. Perry ($8,200). Perry is not far off from Roberson averaging just under 5 catches a game but is averaging just under 92 yards a game too. He leads the 2 in TDs this year and has been Hartman’s favorite target in the redzone. The last name to watch for is Taylor Morin ($4,200). Still gets some loving and in a game set at 56.5 you could try worse choices.
For Clemson we should see D.J, Uiagalelei ($5,900) lead the offense again. He’s been disappointing this year. Only 8 passing touchdowns on the year and 7 interceptions. I know Death Valley is wishing Trevor Lawrence was coming back. D.J. could hit value here, with Wake Forest defense being awful! I would compare the Demon Deacons defense to Clemson recent matchup against Louisville. Wake Forest ranks lowers than Louisville “so you’re telling me there’s a chance.” I won’t go crazy here, may have him in a few lines.
If you know who’s going to play here, let me know. Will Shipley ($6,700) and Kobe Pace ($4,200) were both available last week but held out. I would assume it was because it was against Connecticut and the Deacons were coming in this week. Anyways, I am going to assume both are healthy and will play. They will share the backfield and I will have some shares of both, as stated above Wake Forest hates playing defense.
Justyn Ross is having surgery on his fractured foot and has plans to enter the 2022 NFL Draft. So, there is 1 receiver done and they may be down Joseph Ngata as well. We should see both Beaux Collins ($4,500) and Dacari Collins ($3,500) step up. Both had 5+ catches in the game last week. Also keep an eye out for Ajou Ajou ($3,200) as he’s next up on the depth chart earlier this week behind Ross.
Florida State vs Boston College (-2) O/U 54.5
Florida State hasn’t had the season they wanted but they have surprised some of us and win games I wouldn’t expect them to. Jordan Travis ($7,000) will lead Florida State and try and pull off another upset. He’s coming off a very good game vs Miami last week. He is going up against a tougher matchup here, but I think you could do worse.
Florida State likes to spread the ball out with the RBs as they will use Jashaun Corbin ($6,800) and Treshaun Ward ($3,700). Corbin will be the main back, but Ward will get his shares. I’m probably going to avoid these backs.
I will keep this short I am not interested in the WRs for Florida State. They are all complete GPP plays. If I was to take one it would be between Ontaria Wilson ($4,000) or Kansas transfer Andrew Parchment ($3,500) as fliers.
Phil Jurkovec ($4,500) missed some games but now that he’s back Boston College is looking decent again. He is one of my cheap QB plays for the week. 48.5 points last week against Georgia Tech and Florida State is right around the same rank for defense. I think he could hit value easily vs the Seminoles.
The Eagles have leaned on their RB Pat Garwo III ($5,800) since Jurkovec has come back. Back-to-back 100-yard games and I think there’s a good chance he could make that 3 in a row. Florida State ranks 244th against RBs and I will have plenty of shares of him.
Zay Flowers ($6,700) is the main guy for the receivers. He can do damage vs the Seminoles, but I think I rather combine Garwo and Jurkovec. Flowers is GPP viable, and I will have some shares of him.
Iowa State vs Oklahoma (-4) O/U 60.5
We have seen teams torch Oklahoma’s Defense and we could see it again this week. Brock Purdy ($6,900) will lead the Cyclones and see if they can serve Oklahoma their 2nd straight loss. He can put-up points but are we going to see him used against a bad pass defense or will they rely on their other super stars on offense. I will have some shares of Purdy.
The other super star I was referring to is Breece Hall (9,400). Averaging 21 carries a game and 117 yards a game and averaging just under 2 touchdowns a game. Dude is a monster and I expect him to have a big game against the Sooners. I will have plenty of shares of him. If you can afford him there’s no reason not to go, there.
Iowa State have plenty of fire power on offense and it doesn’t stop here. A couple options here and I will have shares of all of them. Xavier Hutchinson ($7,500) is their main wideout and he has shown some big game ability. He is averaging just under 7 catches a game. The Cyclones also have a cash friendly Tight End with Charlie Kolar ($4,500). In a high total game and one of Purdy’s favorite targets in the redzone, I will have plenty of shares of him. The last guy I would consider in GPPs is Tarique Milton ($3,800). Two touchdowns in 2 games, on only 3 catches. Milton is a very GPP play here.
Oklahoma’s offense has been a roller coaster this year, but I will still have some shares of each of these players. Starting off at QB Caleb Williams ($9,900) will get the start. It was said he had a hand injury last week vs Baylor, but Lincoln Riley was quoted, “Williams hand is fine, and he is good to go on Saturday.” Iowa State has a better defense, but they have showed some holes. Not my favorite play but not hating it.
Oklahoma will most likely lean on the pass game, but a name to note especially in the redzone is Kennedy Brooks ($7,400). If the Sooners get up early, he may be leaned on more, but I expect Oklahoma to lean away from the run game.
Receiver wise Oklahoma has plenty of options, you just have to pick the right one. I would label the whole receiver core as GPP plays. The Sooners like to spread the ball out as each of the receivers will get at least 2 or more catches. If I had to pick my favorite I would lean on Michael Woods II ($3,800). Woods came back last week after being gone from the team a few weeks and hauled in 4 catches for 53 yards.
Texas vs West Virginia (-3) O/U 56.5
The mighty Longhorns! What a game last week… Now Texas is down their star RB so they will most likely lean on the receivers or the backup RBs.
Casey Thompson ($6,800) was named the starter vs West Virginia. Fantasy wise Thompson finished off nicely vs Kansas, but I don’t know what QB hasn’t looked nice against the Jayhawks defense. Step up in competition and I won’t have many shares of him in this matchup.
I can see a shared backfield here even though early indications have said otherwise. Roschon Johnson ($3,800) is slated to take over the lead back spot moving forward, but I have been hearing a lot about Keilan Robinson ($3,600) now that he is cleared COVID protocol. I would lean Johnson in this game if you were going with either, but I can see a shared backfield to end the year. The Mountaineers haven’t been the best at stopping the run so I will have some shares here especially with them being so cheap.
The Longhorns have about 3 wideouts who can make some noise. Xavier Worthy ($7,200) is the main guy here and is probably the most reliable. Marcus Washington ($4,900) has stepped up since Jordan Whittington ($4,900) was out with a collarbone injury. Whittington has been said to play this week so we will see how that does for each of them.
Jarret Doege ($5,200) is priced where he should be. He’s had a bad season compared to what some of us expected. He has an amazing matchup here. Again, just look at last week Kansas was able to move the ball with ease. I will have some shares of Doege.
I keep finding myself placing Leddie Brown ($6,200) in almost all my lines. He is the go-to guy on offense, and I can see him getting 25-30 touches this game. Texas allowed freshman Devin Neal for Kansas to run for 143 and totaling 3 touchdowns on the ground and receiving. I can see Leddie Brown being a cash game lock.
West Virginia doesn’t have an amazing receiver core but there are a few names to know. Winston Wright Jr ($5,000) is probably the number 1 guy to remember. He is averaging 5 catches a game and Texas defense is awful if you couldn’t tell by now. Outside of the Oklahoma State game Bryce Ford-Wheaton ($4,800) has been on fire. I will have shares of both Wright and Ford-Wheaton. The flier to know is Sam James ($3,700). Numbers have not been amazing, but against a bad defense we have seen him hit value with just 2-3 catches and a touchdown.
Purdue (-11.5) vs Northwestern O/U 47.5
The upset kings were not able to do it again last week vs Ohio State, but Aidan O’Connell ($6,200) still had a nice fantasy day. He draws a decent matchup here vs Northwestern. He won’t be my first choice, but I think you could do worse.
Purdue should have a field day on the ground, only issue is they are a pass happy offense. The backfield will be shared between King Doerue ($4,500) and Zander Horvath ($3,400). Doerue has filled in decently with Horvath getting hurt earlier this year. Horvath has been able to work his wake back shortly. Northwestern is not the same defense they used to be and currently rank as one of the worse rush defenses. I will have a few shares of each.
If you don’t know his name yet you might as well start learning the name David Bell ($7,300). He draws a tougher matchup vs the Wildcats this week compared against the last 2 weeks. The rest of the receivers are all GPP worthy.
I’ll keep it short and simple with Northwestern. They will run the ball and try to milk the clock. Evan Hull ($5,300) is the name to know here. Purdue is not the best against the run but they will still give him 15+ touches.
Michigan State vs Ohio State (-19) O/U 68.5
Two teams that need this win. Whoever losses you can remove from playoff talks.
Payton Thorne ($7,000) will need to air the ball out in this game with Ohio State being bad against through the air. He has had some nice games the last 2 weeks and I think he will need if they want to stay close in this game.
Kenneth Walker III ($9,200) is the main guy here and I think at his price point he can only be considered as a GPP play. Walker is an amazing player and will be one of the finalists for Heisman this year. I just rather pay up for Breece Hall if I was going that route.
Jayden Reed ($6,500) is the main guy for the Spartans receivers. With Jalen Nailor being out the last few weeks and doubtful as of now to play this week, Reed and Tre Mosley ($4,700) have stepped up nicely. Both will need to be on their A game if they want to try and win this game and make it back into the playoff’s contentions.
Ohio State offense is not their issue this year, as the defense has not helped them out. C.J. Stroud ($9,500) has had a roller coaster season fantasy wise, and he will be needed against a horrible Spartans pass defense.
Freshman TreVeyon Henderson ($8,500) has had an amazing season. He will have a tougher matchup this week but at the price point I rather go elsewhere. Henderson is a GPP play this week.
The Buckeyes have a 3 headed attack. Jaxon Smith-Nijgba ($7,900), Garrett Wilson ($6,800) and Chris Olave ($6,400) should all have a field day. Olave is probably the safest with how many targets he gets a game followed by Wilson. Smith-Nijgba is a GPP play this week with his pricing, but I think he can possibly still hit value, but it’ll be tough.
Rutgers vs Penn State (-17.5) O/U 46.5
Rutgers wise will be short and sweet. I will be avoiding them in lineups. Penn State has been a top 10 defense this year.
For Penn State Sean Clifford ($6,000) has a tougher matchup this week especially with a lower total this week. Clifford is worth some shares this week as they prefer to throw.
I would avoid the RB for the Nittany Lions this week but if you are interested, you’re looking for Noah Cain ($4100).
Receiver wise Jahan Dotson ($8,400) is the main guy. Averaging 8 catches a game and just shy of 100 yards a game. I think Dotson will have a field day! A cheap option I would consider is Parker Washington ($4,000). He hasn’t had the best season but if you were looking for a receiver to pair with Clifford and didn’t want to pay for Dotson I would suggest Washington. Dotson will get most of the shares of the 2.
Illinois vs Iowa (-12) O/U 38.5
I am completely avoiding this game but if you were taking someone, I would consider the RBs. Tyler Goodson ($6,500) and Chase Brown ($5,700).
Georgia Tech vs Notre Dame (-17.5) O/U 59.5
Just like the last game I will be avoiding Georgia Tech this week.
Notre Dame should have a field game this week. If you’re wanting a QB this week I would avoid this game as well. I think Jack Coan ($6,400) is a decently play on GPP, but I rather go elsewhere.
Kyren Williams ($8,000) has had a decent year this year and is one of the main pieces on the Irish offense. He is averaging a touchdown a game. I think you could do worse, and I will have some shares of him in my lines.
Notre Dame receivers are cheap this week and I think some of them are worth grabbing especially in the high total. Kevin Austin Jr. ($5,900) and tight end Michael Mayer ($5,600) are the main 2 pass catchers in this offense. Mayer is probably the safer of the two, but I can see Austin having a nice game here too. The last name to consider is flier Braden Lenzy ($3,300). Every time I expect him to do good, he makes me look silly. So I expect him to have a bad game here.
Arkansas vs Alabama (-21) O/U 58.5
We know Alabama pass defense have been their weak point at times. KJ Jefferson ($7,600) is a GPP play this week.
I will be avoiding the RBs for the Razorbacks this week as Bama rush defense is good.
If you want a GPP play for the receivers you’re going to want to use playmaker Treylon Burks ($7,000). I will have some shares of him but not many.
The Roll Tide once again have a juggernaut on offense who’s led by Bryce Young ($9,800). I will have some shares of Young this week but there’s other high price QBs I like this week.
Brian Robinson Jr. ($9,000) should have a nice game this week against a decent Arkansas rush defense. Averaging around 90 yards a game and just shy of 2 touchdowns a game (with him getting a limited touches in blowouts).
Bama has a 1-2 punch with Jameson Williams ($7,700) and John Metchie III ($7,400). Metchie is probably the cash game play of the two, as Williams is the big play guy for Alabama. I think both plays will do good this week.
SMU vs Cincinnati (-11.5) O/U 65
I think SMU has a chance to upset Cincy here. It is not my favorite upset this week, but I wouldn’t be surprised if it happened. My question is can they score on a tougher Cincinnati defense. SMU has some real talent, and it all starts with Tanner Mordecai ($8,700). He has been able to air the ball out and I do think he will be the key for SMU to have a fighter’s chance.
The Mustangs share the backfield with Tre Siggers ($5,700) and Ulysses Bentley IV ($3,800). Bentley is probably the better RB of the two but coming off an injury and how Siggers has played with Bentley being out, I think both will be used evenly. I will have some shares of both.
SMU has a three headed receiving core and all of them will be used. Danny Gray ($6,900) is the main receiver but only issue is he’s hurt now. He didn’t practice as of Tuesday, but coach Dykes said Gray is a “quick healer”. SMU will need him to have that chance. The other two names to know is Rashee Rice ($5,900) and Reggie Roberson Jr. ($4,900). If Gray was ruled out, Rice is the safer of the two, but I would say Roberson has huge upside!
Cincinnati seems to be the ugly duckling of the NCAA. People want to bring up their conference and who they play. The thing is they have beaten a 10 ranked Notre Dame at their stadium. Desmond Ridder ($8,900) should have a field day against SMUs defense who ranks, well bad. I will have shares of Ridder for sure.
The question here is will Jerome Ford ($8,400) play this week. He was held out last week, which he wasn’t needed in. Unless I am overlooking it, I don’t see what the injury is, just seeing (undisclosed). The Bearcats will have a shared backfield if Ford is out, which I will be avoiding this backfield this week.
There are only two receivers that I am really considering here if any, and that is Alec Pierce ($7,600) and Josh Whyle ($5,200). Personally I will have just a couple shares of each, but those are the main two.
Virginia vs Pittsburgh (-14.5) O/U 66
The main game I will be targeting is this one. A juicy total of 66 and I wouldn’t be surprised if it went over if Brennan Armstrong ($10,000) is healthy to play. Armstrong is needed for this game to hit 66. Coach Mendenhall said that he hopes Armstrong will be able to do more in practice this week. So be cautious.
I will fully be avoiding the RBs for Virginia.
The Cavaliers have multiple options at WRs. Again, it all depends on Armstrong but let’s assume he’s playing. Dontayvion Wicks ($8,000), Keytaon Thompson ($6,800), Billy Kemp IV ($6,100), Jelani Woods ($5,100) and Ra’Shaun Henry ($3,700) are the big names here. Wicks is the main target for Armstrong as Thompson and Kemp are more of his short yardage targets. Woods has been used in the redzone a lot with Wicks. Lastly my flier would be Henry who is a complete boom or bust play. He has had some huge games early in the year.
Pittsburgh is ran by the great Kenny Pickett ($9,100). If Armstrong plays I expect Pickett to be able to play the whole game and I expect him to crush value.
Israel Abanikanda ($5,300) is the main back for the Panthers. I think he is a great GPP play this weekend vs a weak Cavaliers defense.
Receiver wise Jordan Addison ($7,100) is the main guy. He’s averaging 6 catches a game and over 100 yards a game with a nice matchup. Keep an eye out for Taysir Mack ($4,900) if he’s out again you can look at Jared Wayne ($4,300).
Again, I would love to stack this game, but it comes down to will Armstrong play or not.
Michigan (-14.5) vs Maryland O/U 56.5
Michigan QBs and WRs are complete GPP plays. Not one is consistent in a good way. Only one I would consider is Cornelius Johnson ($5,200). Maryland is terrible at defense, and he is the only consistent one who does good.
Running back wise we need some injury news on Blake Corum ($6,000). Corum had a foot injury and was held out last week. Hassan Haskins ($7,600) took the lead back role and ran with it. If Corum is out or limited, I will be locking Haskins in a lot of my lines.
For Maryland I think Tua’s little brother Taulia Tagovailoa ($6,300) has a GPP chance at hitting value. I won’t have many shares of him in lines.
I will be avoiding the RBs completely and only other players I’m considering in this game for Maryland is the WR’s. Rakim Jarrett ($5,200) is probably the safer of the two but it’s a tougher matchup. I lean to the tight end Chigoziem Okonkwo ($4,300) who has had two amazing weeks the last two weeks. 20 catches in the last two weeks and just shy of 200 yards.
Nebraska vs Wisconsin (-9) O/U 42
I am most likely avoiding this game completely. The only players I’m considering as GPP plays are QB Adrian Martinez ($7,100) and RB for Wisconsin Braelon Allen ($8,600). I think Allen can have a huge game against the Cornhuskers.
Hope this helps you all with lines! If you need anymore help join in on our discord for more information! Good Luck Hunters!